Americans prefer Clinton to Bush.
In every area Clinton beat Bush:
- On the economy, 63% to 26%
- On solving the problems of ordinary Americans, 62% to 25%
- On foreign affairs, 56% to 32%
- On taxes, 51% to 35%
- On handling natural disasters, 51% to 30%
- On national security, 46% to 42%
- On honesty, 46% to 41%
Moreover, 59 percent said Bush has done more to divide the country, while only 27 percent said Clinton had.
The poll was rigorously performed with a sample size of 1,021 adult Americans, conducted May 5-7 by the nonpartisan Opinion Research Corp. It had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
In other news, a recent Harris poll shows President Bush at his lowest aproval rating of his Presidency: 29%. This is lower than Nixon's rating at the height of the Watergate scandal.


1 Comments:
For those interested in polling validity, a common source for survey inaccuracy is sampling error. As the folks at Harris note:
"The number of respondents largely determines sampling error. Statistical theory indicates that in the case of a poll with this sample size (1005 Total Interviews), 95 percent of the time the results of a survey of this size would be the same as interviewing the entire population...give or take approximately three percent."
So, when looking at polls, always check the Margin of Error (MoE). If the margin of error is only 3 or 4 percent, the sampling size is large enough to give you a fairly accurate reflection on the overall population.
That's why so many rigorous polls shoot for about 1005 respondents, so they can get their MoE down to about ±3%, a fairly tight poll, all other things being equal.
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